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SeniorArk CPI-W Watch  - - -  thru September, 2009

This page updated October 15, 2009

Change in CPI-W from 3rd quarter of 2008 to third quarter of 2009

 

There will be no COLA for Seniors in 2010. Here is the final explanation from the Social Security Administration:

 

 

Latest Cost-of-Living Adjustment

What is a COLA?
Legislation enacted in 1973 provides for cost-of-living adjustments, or COLAs. With COLAs, Social Security and Supplemental Security Income (SSI) benefits keep pace with inflation.

No COLA
There will be no increase in Social Security benefits payable in January 2010, nor will there be an increase in SSI payments.

How is a COLA calculated?
The Social Security Act specifies a formula for determining each COLA. In general, a COLA is equal to the percentage increase in the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W) from the third quarter of one year to the third quarter of the next. If there is no increase, there is no COLA.

COLA Computation
For the December 2009 COLA, we measure the increase (if any) in the average CPI-W from the third calendar quarter of 2008 to the third quarter of 2009. These averages are 215.495 and 211.001 for the third calendar quarters of 2008 and 2009, respectively, and are derived from monthly CPI-Ws developed by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

 

Month CPI-W for—
2008 2009
July 216.304 210.526
August 215.247 211.156
September 214.935 211.322
Total 646.486 633.004
Average (rounded
   to the nearest 0.001)
215.495 211.001

 

Because there is no increase in the CPI-W from the third quarter of 2008 through the third quarter of 2009, there is no COLA.


     

The CPI-W figures above are the ones used to build toward a decision on any Social Security adjustment we would receive in 2010. As of September 30, 2009. There was a net drop in the CPI-W from the third quarter of 2008 compared to the third quarter of 2009.

The only way there could be any positive adjustment in 2010 is if legislation is passed to grant an exception. There are some efforts being made. In fact, on October 14, 2009, President Obama proposed a one-time payment of $250 to Seniors in 2010. This would look like about a 2% increase for the average Social Security recipient.  Contact your congress people to express your opinion.

By law, there cannot be a negative COLA, even if the inflation reflected in the CPI-W is negative.

More from the Bureau of Labor Statistics

More from the Social Security Administration

 

Note: See article from the Congressional Budget Office Director's Blog: Why CBO Projects No Social Security COLA for 2010 to 2012 Under Current Law
 

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